Today is my mom’s birthday and I use the occasion to celebrate in relative high style via dinner at Gordon Ramsay At The London (yes, a mouthful for a restaurant name, but then if you have your own reality show by the name of Hell’s Kitchen, you can name your restaurant any length you like), followed by A Tale of Two Cities, one of the latest productions to hit Broadway (full house). I couldn’t help but marvel at the fact that the restaurant was packed and Time Square was mobbed with people. Where is recession or the imminent arrival of it?
Over the past month I have taken out-of-town guests from the other coast or from 8,000 miles away to sample the culinary delights of NYC. Without fail every high end bar or restaurant was packed with people or next to impossible to get a reservation on a weekend; and Time Square was forever packed!! It seems that the more expensive a restaurant, the harder it is to get a reservation!! Ostensibly on the surface it does not look like anyone is worrying about job losses or the slow down in the economy. So now it begs the question: why are people still spending in spite of the recent economic woes and the loss of perceived or real wealth from the stock market? Perhaps you have people like me who will celebrate special occasions such as birthdays by splurging. Perhaps the foreign tourists who booked their trips 6 months ago are here using their strong currencies (well less strong by the day)? Perhaps people have saved enough from the great bonuses of the past 2 - 3 years that a minor dent in the stock market won’t alter their spending habits? Perhaps people feel even more compelled to spend for fear there is no tomorrow? Perhaps those who do not have the means to spend simply just put more on their credit cards since presumably Uncle Sam will bail them out? Perhaps people are still using their corporate cards to take their clients out?
I know not the answer but I do know that sometime in the next few months this picture should be very different from today as various firms are cutting their staff in NYC – ranging from Wall Street to media to publishing. It is estimated that close to 200,000 private sector jobs will be cut by end of 2009 in NYC, not to mention the public sector. Certainly from the closure of retail store fronts on the Upper East Side alone in recent months (seems like one every few blocks along Lex, Third and Second Ave) should portend a period of significant slow down. There is a retail clothing store 2 blocks from me that has a ”Going Out Of Business” sign accompanied by a 75% off notice on its window – less than 6 months after it opened. I wonder what the rest of NYC will look like in the spring of 2009?
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